Tigers

I can't see the Tigers winning 99 games this season. With Miguel Cabrera now hitting in the middle of the lineup, their offense is devastating and will probably challenge that of the Yankees to score the most runs in baseball, but they have major question marks in their pitching staff. They're relying on 43-year-old Kenny Rogers, who is coming off a season in which he started just 11 games, to be the #2 man. Jeremy Bonderman took a major step backwards last year, showing signs of frailty while also tacking on nearly a run to his 2006 ERA, and back-end man Dontrelle Willis is probably the most overrated pitcher in baseball, having seen both his strikeout rate and walk rate move in the wrong direction each of the last 2 years. Take into consideration that they have Todd Jones closing, with Zumaya out for about half the season; that the pen leading up to Jones is pretty average; that the health of 39-year-old Gary Sheffield is uncertain; and that they probably can't reasonably expect a repeat performance from Magglio Ordonez, who last year bested his career OBP and SLG by 64 and 73 points, respectively, and 99 wins looks virtually impossible. (And, for the record, former MVP Ivan Rodriguez won the award 8 years ago and hasn't been even an average major-league hitter, as measured by OPS+, since his first year with the Tigers)